A Late-Spring 2008 Moment ~ The Risk Averse Alert

Monday, November 28, 2011

A Late-Spring 2008 Moment


Another alternate Elliott wave count for your consideration. This one finds wave (3) of C underway since late-October...


$SPX

Substantiation follows...


SPX weekly

It looks a lot like late-May, early-June 2008 right now, suggesting early-October low is about to be taken out.

No doubt, S&P 500 weekly RSI is ominously poised, making the case for further weakness straight ahead. According to every technical measure periodically presented here, there is no time for a fall like the present ... that is following likely encore to today's explosion higher. According to the view above once selling gets underway the vicinity of $SPX 950-1000 could be the next stop.

Per the bigger picture the above view portends, what matter of circumstance raises prospect of volatility shooting off the charts during a second straight presidential election year? What greater part do power struggles naturally play during periods of financial turmoil? What better time to grease the U.S.A's stumble into the governance pit than when political power struggles are in season?


Fast Money
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© The Risk Averse Alert — Advocating a patient, disciplined approach to stock market investing. Overriding objective is limiting financial risk. Minimizing investment capital loss is a priority.

Analysis centers on the stock market's path of least resistance. Long-term, this drives a simple strategy for safely investing a 401(k) for maximum profit. Intermediate-term, investing with stock index tracking-ETFs (both their long and short varieties) is advanced. Short-term, stock index options occasionally offer extraordinary profit opportunities when the stock market is moving along its projected path.

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