Wall of Worry Destroyed ~ The Risk Averse Alert

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Wall of Worry Destroyed


There's a good chance today's break marks the beginning of the end, as the NYSE Advance-Decline differential saw its worst day since late-June 2010 bottom....


$NYAD

Recall that, this measure confirmed the component waves thought forming a "rising wedge" off late-June 2010 bottom. So, assuming this special Elliott Wave form indeed unfolded over the past eight months, its completion appears signaled by today's broad-based decline.

However appreciating that, an increasingly isolated assortment of desperadoes propping up a bankrupt trans-Atlantic financial system might have a final trick or two up its collective sleeve, let's save the "end of days" call for sometime in the not-too-distant future when holes in a dike short of fingers to plug them develop into gaping cracks destined to precede all out collapse.


OEX 5-min

Now, when did we last see a similarly violent, 5-wave decline whose effect rapidly erased a preceding advance?


$OEX

Ah yes, it was during last year's "flash crash." Thus, this week's worst might have come today, leaving the remainder of the week for consolidating today's loss and setting up for much heavier selling still to come.

Despite today's pickup in volume, share turnover was notably less than occurred mid-April 2010, when the market made its initial turn from top then. This offers more proof that, the so-called "wall of worry" has left the building, reserving for some future date the fleecing of a crowd whose present, misplaced faith will not dissipate until much lower price levels are reached...


Fast Money
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